"March 2011". Issued as part of the Canadian Electronic Library, Documents collection, Canadian health research collection, and Canadian public policy collection.

Includes bibliographical references.

Executive Summary -- Introduction and Rationale -- The Issue -- Phase I Identifying Drivers and Trends -- Wild Cards That May Influence Children's Physical Activity -- Phase II Exploring Uncertainty -- Phase III: Scenario Logics -- Phase IV: Scenario Narratives -- Scenario Overviews -- The Scenario Narratives -- À la Carte Scenario Narrative -- Cocoon Scenario Narrative -- No Child Left Inside Scenario Narrative -- Smart Complex Scenario Narrative -- 'Wild Card' Narratives: A Water Crisis -- Phase V: Quantitative Modelling of Physical Activity Scenarios -- Exploring the Scenario Narratives Using a Monte Carlo Microsimulation Model ("Static Model") -- Exploring a 'Backlook Scenario' of 50 Years Past -- Summary: Scenario Analysis and Public Health -- Acknowledgements -- References.

"The Children and Physical Activity Scenarios Project was a multi-method exploration and analysis of alternative physical activity futures among 5-12 year old children in Canada over the next 50 years ... In order to capture a comprehensive and diverse range of influences on physical activity and inactivity in children, this project explored the social, technological, educational, emerging/reemerging conditions; environment (physical); population; political, economic, and regulatory environments to identify the major drivers and trends. This project identifies the key drivers of change shaping the wider context of physical activity in children"--P. 1.